Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.211504 0.242996 0.278478 0.321592 0.372798 0.431956 0.505889
2025-11-02 0.162289 0.203227 0.254341 0.323623 0.416272 0.537606 0.711389
2025-11-09 0.133267 0.177341 0.236567 0.323576 0.450898 0.634865 0.929294
2025-11-16 0.113266 0.157935 0.221493 0.321037 0.477776 0.723617 1.156549
2025-11-23 0.098078 0.142049 0.207611 0.315924 0.497437 0.803185 1.389606
2025-11-30 0.089362 0.134008 0.203522 0.324269 0.539024 0.926805 1.736821
2025-12-07 0.079631 0.122842 0.192550 0.318777 0.554832 1.007284 2.026026
2025-12-14 0.072924 0.115537 0.186628 0.320608 0.583703 1.118671 2.418248
2025-12-21 0.066953 0.108638 0.180321 0.320419 0.608212 1.226735 2.842741
2025-12-28 0.063033 0.104734 0.178643 0.328499 0.650867 1.384762 3.456383
2026-01-04 0.059170 0.100444 0.175638 0.333331 0.687424 1.538609 4.127692
2026-01-11 0.055751 0.096560 0.172851 0.338061 0.724644 1.704590 4.915882
2026-01-18 0.053113 0.093918 0.172276 0.347760 0.776737 1.928128 6.024039
2026-01-25 0.049986 0.090022 0.168762 0.350499 0.812748 2.120586 7.147644
2026-02-01 0.046930 0.085947 0.164382 0.350541 0.841964 2.303707 8.361086
2026-02-08 0.043944 0.081711 0.159164 0.347768 0.863099 2.469802 9.626362
2026-02-15 0.041027 0.077338 0.153161 0.342154 0.875153 2.611286 10.892884
2026-02-22 0.039533 0.075760 0.153071 0.351323 0.932615 2.932163 13.340553
2026-03-01 0.037059 0.071887 0.147426 0.345289 0.942719 3.085294 15.026352
2026-03-08 0.035353 0.069513 0.144947 0.347300 0.978930 3.355054 17.699792
2026-03-15 0.033642 0.066977 0.141823 0.347092 1.008105 3.610275 20.588329
2026-03-22 0.032613 0.065856 0.141932 0.355973 1.070704 4.039315 25.316508
2026-03-29 0.031441 0.064311 0.140849 0.361286 1.122498 4.447284 30.534551